Post-Trade Analysis: Enova International (ENVA)

Hello Traders!

Mark here from the Signal Trader Pro team. Each week, we break down real trades to show how the Signal Trader Pro Algorithm spots high‑probability setups—and what we can learn from the wins, the losses, and the trades that go nowhere.

Today, we’re walking through our recent ENVA trade—a high‑scoring financial stock that gave us a textbook RSI entry. While ENVA ultimately broke out to fresh highs after our exit, this setup highlights the power of disciplined, systematic trading.

Company Overview:

Enova International (ENVA)

Enova International (NYSE: ENVA) is a tech‑enabled financial services company offering online credit and analytics‑driven lending solutions to non‑prime consumers and small businesses, using proprietary AI models to underwrite risk.

Spotting the Opportunity:

Market Context & Setup

On February 6, 2025, ENVA hit a new all-time high at $117.56. From there, it began a multi-week pullback that bottomed out on March 10 at $86.12—a nearly 27% correction. Along the way, RSI dipped below 30 on March 3, placing it on our oversold watchlist. But this wasn’t just a technical setup—our scoring system showed a near-perfect 14 out of 15 Quantamental Score, signaling a fundamentally strong company going through a temporary setback.

Rather than jump in immediately, we followed our standard protocol and waited for RSI to cross back above 30, confirming a shift in short-term momentum. That happened on March 17, and we entered the trade at $93.03.

Over the next few months, ENVA built out a well-defined base between $90 and $100. The stock hovered near its 200-day moving average and struggled to break above the 100-day, forming a tight range that that resembled a classic volatility contraction pattern. These types of consolidations often precede explosive breakouts—especially in stocks with strong fundamental underpinnings.

Executing the Trade: Entry & Exit

For nearly three months, ENVA held that base. It tightened. Volume contracted. Volatility dried up. On June 23, the stock broke out above its 100-day moving average with conviction. Two days later, on June 25, ENVA hit our dynamic price target, and we exited the trade at $103.87, locking in an 11.7% gain over 100 days.

Almost immediately after we exited, the stock tacked on another 7% in just a few days, printing new all-time highs. But here’s the key takeaway: we didn’t miss anything. Our system is designed to capture the highest-probability leg of the move—not to chase every dollar.

This was a textbook execution. We had a clean entry, a steady hold, and a well-timed exit that honored both the setup and the playbook. The stock did what it was supposed to do— and so did we.

Post-Trade Reflections:

What This Trade Taught Us

This trade is a perfect reminder of one of our core principles at Signal Trader Pro:

Plan the Trade. Trade the Plan.

Yes, ENVA continued higher after our exit. But our system is built on discipline and repeatability. It doesn’t care about what might happen—it acts on what usually happens.

That said, this kind of setup does raise an interesting idea for more seasoned traders. In cases where a clean breakout overlaps with our exit signal, a more experienced trader might consider scaling out rather than selling the full position.

We’ll test this idea in the background to see if it enhances returns without compromising risk discipline.

For now, we’re proud of this one—and ready for the next high-probability setup to present itself.

Thanks for reading. Until next time—stay patient, stay focused, and stick to the plan.

Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. The stock market is risky, and any trade or investment is expected to have some, or total, loss. Please do your own research before making any trades. Do not use this information for investment decisions.